{"id":12751,"date":"2025-08-26T11:39:40","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T09:39:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/?p=12751"},"modified":"2026-02-05T15:55:23","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T14:55:23","slug":"industrial-automation-industry-update-q3-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/news\/industrial-automation-industry-update-q3-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Industrial Automation &#8211; Industry Update Q3 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Macroeconomic Update<\/h1>\n<h2>Global GDP outlook at 2.8% driven by tariffs and policy uncertainty with the U.S. showing the sharpest drop<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Global real GDP growth outlook for 2025 slipped in the most recent quarter after remaining relatively stable; current outlook is 2.8% globally, which is below the 2000 \u2013 2019 average of 3.7%<\/li>\n<li>Lower growth outlook largely driven by concerns with tariffs and high levels of policy uncertainty; U.S. saw the largest reduction in outlook among major economies, declining by ~1%<\/li>\n<li>Tariffs have created an environment of uncertainty over the past couple months; market is closely monitoring tariff headlines as they change in real time<\/li>\n<li>While the long-term implications are unclear given the overall scope and frequency of policy changes, tariffs will likely impact economic sentiment, inflation expectations, and interest rates globally in the near-term (impact not fully reflected in all indicators included herein given recency)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Real GDP Growth Forecast (2025)<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12778\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-103117.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"794\" height=\"547\" \/><\/p>\n<pre>Source: D.A. Davidson MCF International Investment Banking, International Monetary Fund (\u201cIMF\u201d), and OECD<\/pre>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2>Industrial &amp; Manufacturing performance indicators<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Industrial production in both the U.S. and Europe has turned modestly positive in 2025<\/strong> after a relatively flat 2023 and 2024, as easing inflation, improved supply chain reliability, and gradual demand normalization have supported a mild recovery in output<\/li>\n<li><strong>Capacity utilization rates have remained stable since mid-2022<\/strong>, with U.S. and European manufacturers continuing to operate at stable but slightly declining levels, reflecting cautious capacity deployment amid soft new order intake and limited capital expansion<\/li>\n<li>Recent trends point to a manufacturing sector that has largely stabilized following post-pandemic disruptions, but one that remains demand-constrained, with firms prioritizing cost control and throughput efficiency over incremental growth in response to subdued order activity and uncertain visibility into near-term end markets<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Industrial Production Index (YoY Growth)<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12757\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-101859.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"408\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Capacity Utilization Index<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12760\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-101952.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1179\" height=\"406\" \/><\/p>\n<pre>Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, European Commission Eurostat<\/pre>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h2>Manufacturing sentiment &amp; demand<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Manufacturing PMI readings in both the U.S. and Europe have hovered below 50 percent since mid-2022<\/strong>, as persistent cost pressures, elevated interest rates, and weaker global demand have weighed on confidence and slowed the pace of industrial recovery<\/li>\n<li><strong>U.S. manufacturing new orders have trended downward since early 2022 and remain below prior peaks<\/strong>, reflecting softer capital goods demand, reduced customer backlogs, and ongoing caution in restocking activity<\/li>\n<li>The continued softness in purchasing activity and weak order pipelines point to a manufacturing sector that remains cautious and demand-constrained, with producers prioritizing operational efficiency and inventory discipline over growth, and waiting for a clearer signal of sustained end-market recovery before reaccelerating production or investment<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (\u201cPMI\u201d)<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12763\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-102338.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1165\" height=\"416\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12766\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-102400.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1173\" height=\"410\" \/><\/p>\n<pre>Source: Institute for Supply Management<\/pre>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2>Manufacturing output &amp; backlog<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Manufacturing production has steadily declined since early 202<\/strong>2, with output levels softening as producers adjust to weaker order volumes, tighter financial conditions, and persistent margin pressures that have limited their willingness to ramp capacity<\/li>\n<li><strong>Backlogs of manufacturing orders have followed a similar downward trajectory<\/strong>, falling significantly from 2021 highs and remaining muted as customer demand normalizes, lead times shorten, and fewer disruptions necessitate large advance orders<\/li>\n<li>The continued slide in both output and backlog levels underscores a sector that is no longer supply-constrained but instead demand-limited, with manufacturers taking a more cautious and efficiency-focused approach to operations amid slower intake and limited pipeline visibility<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>ISM Manufacturing Production Index<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12769\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-102736.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1158\" height=\"415\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>ISM Manufacturing Backlog of Orders Index<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12772\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Screenshot-2025-08-26-102754.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1160\" height=\"427\" \/><\/p>\n<pre>Source: Institute for Supply Management<\/pre>\n<h2>Download full report<\/h2>\n<p>To explore the full report &#8211; including key drivers, selected trends, and the M&amp;A environment in industrial automation &#8211; download the full report at the top of the page.<\/p>\n<h2>Get in touch<\/h2>\n<p>If you have any questions about the report or the industrial automation market, please contact <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mcfcorpfin.com\/team\/franz-schranner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Franz Schranner<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Macroeconomic Update Global GDP outlook at 2.8% driven by tariffs and policy uncertainty with the U.S. showing the sharpest drop Global real GDP growth outlook for 2025 slipped in the most recent quarter after remaining relatively stable; current outlook is 2.8% globally, which is below the 2000 \u2013 2019 average of 3.7% Lower growth outlook [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":12783,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[150],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12751","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-insikter"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v26.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Industrial Automation - Industry Update Q3 2025 | MCF Corporate Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Industrial Automation - Industry Update Q3 2025 | Stay informed with our latest M&amp;A, Debt Advisory news. 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